Always a Winner: Finding Your Competitive Advantage in an Up and Down Economy Review

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Always a Winner: Finding Your Competitive Advantage in an Up and Down Economy ReviewI have read all of Navarros books. This is the most inferior so far. The most questionable chapter is chapter 14 where he says"The stock market is a very powerful predictor of business cycle turning points". He later uses a chart of the SPY to prove his point. The chart actually proved the opposite. While the Subprime crisis was spreading and causing the biggest mortgage companies to close or sell themselves at firesale prices, the stock market actually made an all time high in october 2007. Then it dropped like 15% in November and actually went up in the month of December-THE MONTH THE RECESSION STARTED.
When I asked Navvaro about this he said he looked more at the trend. Well the trend of the Stock Market in 2007 was definitely upward. The drop in November 2007 after the market hit an all time high does not qualify as a change in trend especially considering the fact that it went back up again in December. When the Stock Market hits it's all time high 2 months before the start of the worst reccesion since WW 2 , it is illogical and misleading to say that the stock market is a leading indicator of bussiness cycle turning pointsAlways a Winner: Finding Your Competitive Advantage in an Up and Down Economy Overview

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